Abstract
The article describes issues accompanying the analysis of the risk of brand capital loss resulting from risk assessment and the specificity of the subject of assessment. It was proposed to adopt a definition of risk as a feature of a situation in which it is possible to quantify threats. The research focused on considerations regarding possible approaches for a measurable indicator for the assessment of the level of risk based on conditions of relative market balance and lack of global threats to the industry of a given brand. The article proposed to modify the customer life-time value indicator to estimate the expected value of the customer's loss, as one of the indicators of brand capital loss. An example was provided showing the possibility of using a simplified customer decision model based on Markov processes to estimate changes in the probability of losing a customer over time.
References
Brink, G. (2002). Operational Risk, in: The New Challenge for Banks. New York: Palgrave. Commission Implementing Regulation (EU) No 402/2013 of 30 April 2013 on the common safety method for risk evaluation and assessment and repealing, Regulation (EC) No 352/2009.
Finetti, B. (1975). Theory of probabilisty, A critical introductory treatment. London: Wiley.
Jeffery, M. (2015). Marketing analityczny, 15 wskaźników, które powinien znać każdy marketer. Warsaw: Helion.
Kaczmarek, T.T. (2010). Zarządzanie ryzykiem, ujęcie interdyscyplinarne. Warsaw: Difin.
Keller, K.L. (2015). Strategiczne zarządzanie marką, kapitał marki – budowanie mierzenie i zarządzanie. Warsaw: Oficyna a Wolters Kluwer business.
Kisielińska, J., Waszkowski, A. (2010). Polskie modele do prognozowania bankructwa przedsiębiorstw i ich weryfikacja. „Ekonomika i Organizacja Gospodarki Żywnościowej”.
Zeszyty Naukowe, No. 82, Warsaw: SGGW.
Knight, F.H. (1921). Risk, Uncertainty & Profit. New York: Hart, Schaffner and Marx.
Makowski, P. (2016). Konsekwencje regulującego charakteru definicji ryzyka [w:] Redziak, Z.,
Strzoda, M., ed., Risk Management 2015. Zarządzanie Ryzykiem w Siłach Zbrojnych RP. Warsaw: AON.
Mączyńska, E., Zawadzki, M. (2006). Dyskryminacyjne modele predykcji bankructwa przedsiębiorstw. „Ekonomista” No. 2.
PN-ISO 31000:2018-08. Zarządzanie ryzykiem – wytyczne. Warsaw: PKN.
Rowe, W.D. (1977). An Anatomy of Risk. New York.
Sienkiewicz, P. (2006). Zarządzanie ryzykiem w sytuacjach kryzysowych. Zarządzanie kryzysowe z uwzględnieniem ryzyka. Warsaw: AON.
Sierpińska, M., Jachna, T. (2005). Ocena przedsiębiorstwa według standardów światowych. Warsaw: PWN.
Tempnan, L. (2002). Riski w ekonomikie junitidana. Moscow.
All texts published in the journal Humanities and Social Sciences are available in the full version on the website of HSS.
Open Access – CC BY 4.0
This is an open access journal which means that all content is freely available without charge to the user or his/her institution. The articles are published under the terms of the Creative Commons licence (CC-BY 4.0), including the following fields of exploitation comprising:
1) the right to publish the Work in print in book and digital form and to distribute it in book and digital form, including by displaying, playing, broadcasting, making it publicly available by the Publisher and third parties,
2) the right to record and reproduce all or part of the Work on paper and in the form of a digital record and in any other possible way by the Publisher,
3) the right to enter the Work into computer memory and save the Work in the IT systems of the Publisher and other entities distributing digital content,
4) the right to archive the Work and make copies of the Work on electronic media by the Publisher, without quantitative restrictions,
5) the right to digitise the Work and to perform conversions/transformations of the Work in electronic form into other digital formats by the Publisher and third parties,
6) the right to distribute the Work, including via the Internet or other ICT networks by the Publisher and other third parties, in a way that allows viewing, reading, copying the content of the Work in electronic form, i.e. all elements belonging to it, whereby copying shall be understood as the saving of the Work made available to an interested person on a medium of their choice,
7) the right to store the Work in the database of the Publisher and other entities distributing the Work in any form, as well as its processing in the database of the Publisher and third parties,
8) right to translate and publish the Work in one of the modern languages in any form by the Publisher and third parties.
The full text of the license is available at the following link: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/deed.en

